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A Complete Guide to the NBA Draft Lottery: Odds For Each Teams & Scenarios

Photo Credit: BSNDenver.com

The NBA Lottery is officially here! It’s the time that every non-playoff team hopes a few ping pong balls bounce their way, as it can determine the future of the franchise. Let’s take a look at the most likely order, each teams odds to land the #1 pick and a top 3 pick in the 2018 NBA Draft, as well as Lottery Scenarios:

Most Likely Order:

  1. Phoenix Suns
  2. Memphis Grizzlies
  3. Dallas Mavericks
  4. Atlanta Hawks
  5. Orlando Magic
  6. Chicago Bulls
  7. Sacramento Kings
  8. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Nets)
  9. New York Knicks
  10. Philadelphia 76ers (via Lakers)
  11. Charlotte Hornets
  12. Los Angeles Clippers (via Pistons)
  13. Los Angeles Clippers
  14. Denver Nuggets

Odds To Land The #1 Pick in the 2018 NBA Draft:

  1. Phoenix Suns: 25%
  2. Memphis Grizzlies: 19.9%
  3. Dallas Mavericks: 13.8%
  4. Atlanta Hawks: 13.7%
  5. Orlando Magic: 8.8%
  6. Chicago Bulls: 5.3%
  7. Sacramento Kings: 5.3%
  8. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Nets): 2.8%
  9. New York Knicks: 1.7%
  10. Philadelphia 76ers (via Lakers): 1.1%
  11. Charlotte Hornets: 0.8%
  12. Detroit Pistons: 0.7%
  13. Los Angeles Clippers: 0.6%
  14. Denver Nuggets: 0.5%

Odds To Land a Top 3 Pick in the 2018 NBA Draft:

  1. Phoenix Suns: 64.2%
  2. Memphis Grizzlies: 55.8%
  3. Dallas Mavericks: 42.6%
  4. Atlanta Hawks: 42.6%
  5. Orlando Magic: 29.1%
  6. Chicago Bulls: 18.3%
  7. Sacramento Kings: 18.3%
  8. Cleveland Cavaliers: 9.9%
  9. New York Knicks: 6.1%
  10. Boston Celtics: 2.9%
  11. Charlotte Hornets: 2.9%
  12. Detroit Pistons: 2.5%
  13. Los Angeles Clippers: 2.2%
  14. Denver Nuggets: 1.8%

Possible Lottery Scenarios:

  • If the 76ers pick (via Lakers) lands at 2 or 3, the pick goes to the Boston Celtics. If the pick lands between 6 and 14, or 1, it stays with the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • If the Pistons pick lands in the top 4, then they keep it. If it lands outside the top 4, then it goes to the Clippers.
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