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Bracketology 3.0: 3/13/18

The third version of my Bracketology is here on one of the best weeks of the year: Conference Tournament week. Zion Williamson is set to return this week for Duke, as with that news Duke is still favored to win this year’s NCAA Tournament. I projected all 68 teams to make the tournament, seeded them, and gave you some metrics that the committee uses for each team. I also put an updated bubble outlook at the end. I’ll be updating constantly until Selection Sunday. You can also catch me on BracketMatrix.com, which I have been added to recently. If you have any questions, feel free to tweet at me @Sports_Burd. That being said, here we go!

Auto Bids So Far:

OVC: Murray State
Big South: Gardner-Webb
MVC: Bradley
ASun: Liberty
SoCon: Wofford
MAAC: Iona
CAA: Northeastern
Horizon: Northern Kentucky
NEC: Farleigh Dickinson
WCC: Saint Mary’s

1 Seeds: Virginia, Kentucky, North Carolina, Gonzaga

Virginia Cavaliers
Conference: ACC
Record: 28-2 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 10-2
SOS: 30th
NET Ranking: 1

Kentucky Wildcats
Conference: SEC
Record: 26-5 (12-2)
Q1 Record: 11-5
SOS: 23rd
NET Ranking: 5

North Carolina Tar Heels
Conference: ACC
Record: 26-5 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 8-3
SOS: 8th
NET Ranking: 7

Gonzaga Bulldogs
Conference: WCC
Record: 30-3 (16-0)
Q1 Record: 5-3
SOS: 78th
NET Ranking: 2


2 Seeds: Duke, Tennessee, Michigan State, Michigan

Duke Blue Devils
Conference: ACC
Record: 26-5 (14-4)
Q1 Record: 8-4
SOS: 14th
NET Ranking: 3

Tennessee Volunteers
Conference: SEC
Record: 27-4 (15-3)
Q1 Record: 7-4
SOS: 42nd
NET Ranking: 6

Michigan State Spartans
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 25-6 (16-4)
Q1 Record: 8-3
SOS: 11th
NET Ranking: 8

Michigan Wolverines
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 26-5 (15-5)
Q1 Record: 7-4
SOS: 21st
NET Ranking: 10


3 Seeds: Houston, LSU, Texas Tech, Kansas

Houston Cougars
Conference: AAC
Record: 29-2 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 5-2
SOS: 95th
NET Ranking: 4

LSU Tigers
Conference: SEC
Record: 26-5 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 9-2
SOS: 40th
NET Ranking: 14

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Conference: Big 12
Record: 26-5 (14-4)
Q1 Record: 6-4
SOS: 52nd
NET Ranking: 9

Kansas Jayhawks
Conference: Big 12
Record: 23-8 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 9-7
SOS: 1st
NET Ranking: 20


4 Seeds: Purdue, Kansas State, Florida State, Wisconsin

Purdue Boilermakers
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 23-8 (16-4)
Q1 Record: 5-7
SOS: 3rd
NET Ranking: 12

Kansas State Wildcats
Conference: Big 12
Record: 24-7 (14-4)
Q1 Record: 7-3
SOS: 34th
NET Ranking: 24

Florida State Seminoles
Conference: ACC
Record: 25-6 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 5-4
SOS: 45th
NET Ranking: 19

Wisconsin Badgers
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 22-9 (14-6)
Q1 Record: 6-6
SOS: 6th
NET Ranking: 15


5 Seeds: Virginia Tech, Maryland, Iowa State, Marquette

Virginia Tech Hokies
Conference: ACC
Record: 23-7 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 3-5
SOS: 51st
NET Ranking: 11

Maryland Terapins
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 22-9 (13-7)
Q1 Record: 5-6
SOS: 19th
NET Ranking: 26

Iowa State Cyclones
Conference: Big 12
Record: 20-11 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 5-7
SOS: 36th
NET Ranking: 23

Marquette Golden Eagles
Conference: Big East
Record: 23-8 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 6-4
SOS: 57th
NET Ranking: 29


6 Seeds: Buffalo, Nevada, Mississippi State, Louisville

Buffalo Bulls
Conference: MAC
Record: 28-3 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 3-1
SOS: 93rd
NET Ranking: 16

Nevada Wolf Pack
Conference: MWC
Record: 28-3 (15-3)
Q1 Record: 1-1
SOS: 111th
NET Ranking: 18

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Conference: SEC
Record: 22-9 (10-8)
Q1 Record: 7-7
SOS: 26th
NET Ranking: 21

Louisville Cardinals
Conference: ACC
Record: 19-12 (10-8)
Q1 Record: 4-9
SOS: 10th
NET Ranking: 22


7 Seeds: Auburn, Wofford, Villanova, Cincinnati

Auburn Tigers
Conference: SEC
Record: 22-9 (11-7)
Q1 Record: 4-6
SOS: 24th
NET Ranking: 17

Wofford Terriers
Conference: SoCon
Record: 28-4 (18-0)
Q1 Record: 4-4
SOS: 105th
NET Ranking: 13

Villanova Wildcats
Conference: Big East
Record: 22-9 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 3-5
SOS: 54th
NET Ranking: 25

Cincinnati Bearcats
Conference: AAC
Record: 25-6 (14-4)
Q1 Record: 3-4
SOS: 80th
NET Ranking: 27


8 Seeds: VCU, Iowa, Ole Miss, Syracuse

VCU Rams
Conference: A-10
Record: 25-6 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 3-2
SOS: 112th
NET Ranking: 31

Iowa Hawkeyes
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 21-10 (10-10)
Q1 Record: 1-8
SOS: 27th
NET Ranking: 42

Ole Miss Rebels
Conference: SEC
Record: 20-11 (10-8)
Q1 Record: 3-7
SOS: 46th
NET Ranking: 35

Syracuse Orange
Conference: ACC
Record: 19-12 (10-8)
Q1 Record: 2-7
SOS: 37th
NET Ranking: 44


9 Seeds: Baylor, Oklahoma, Washington, UCF

Baylor Bears
Conference: Big 12
Record: 19-12 (10-8)
Q1 Record: 3-7
SOS: 47th
NET Ranking: 37

Oklahoma Sooners
Conference: Big 12
Record: 19-12 (7-11)
Q1 Record: 3-9
SOS: 7th
NET Ranking: 39

Washington Huskies
Conference: Pac-12
Record: 24-7 (15-3)
Q1 Record: 1-5
SOS: 72nd
NET Ranking: 40

UCF Knights
Conference: AAC
Record: 23-7 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 2-4
SOS: 83rd
NET Ranking: 28


10 Seeds: Utah State, Texas, Seton Hall, Minnesota

Utah State Aggies
Conference: MWC
Record: 25-6 (15-3)
Q1 Record: 3-4
SOS: 157th
NET Ranking: 30

Texas Longhorns
Conference: Big 12
Record: 16-15 (8-10)
Q1 Record: 4-10
SOS: 13th
NET Ranking: 38

Seton Hall Pirates
Conference: Big East
Record: 18-12 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 5-3
SOS: 44th
NET Ranking: 62

Minnesota Golden Gophers
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 19-12 (9-11)
Q1 Record: 3-8
SOS: 17th
NET Ranking: 56


11 Seeds: St. John’s, TCU, Florida, Saint Mary’s

St. John’s Red Storm
Conference: Big East
Record: 20-11 (8-10)
Q1 Record: 5-3
SOS: 63rd
NET Ranking: 66

TCU Horned Frogs
Conference: Big 12
Record: 19-12 (7-11)
Q1 Record: 2-8
SOS: 35th
NET Ranking: 47

Florida Gators 
Conference: SEC
Record: 17-14 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 2-11
SOS: 16th
NET Ranking: 33

Saint Mary’s Gaels
Conference: WCC
Record: 22-11 (11-5)
Q1 Record: 2-6
SOS: 77th
NET Ranking: 34


12 Seeds: New Mexico State, Murray State, NC State, Temple, Arizona State, Indiana

New Mexico State Aggies
Conference: WAC
Record: 27-4 (15-1)
Q1 Record: 1-1
SOS: 224th
NET Ranking: 45

Murray State Racers
Conference: OVC
Record: 27-4 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 1-2
SOS: 274th
NET Ranking: 43

NC State Wolfpack (Play-in)
Conference: ACC
Record: 21-10 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 1-8
SOS: 61st
NET Ranking: 32

Temple Owls (Play-in)
Conference: AAC
Record: 23-8 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 3-6
SOS: 74th
NET Ranking: 50

Arizona State Sun Devils  (Play-in)
Conference: Pac-12
Record: 21-9 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 4-2
SOS: 69th
NET Ranking: 67

Indiana Hoosiers (Play-in)
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 17-14 (8-12)
Q1 Record: 4-8
SOS: 12th
NET Ranking: 51


13 Seeds: Liberty, Northeastern, UC Irvine, Vermont

Liberty Flames
Conference: A-Sun
Record: 28-6 (14-2)
Q1 Record: 3-0
SOS: 268th
NET Ranking: 59

Northeastern Huskies
Conference: CAA
Record: 21-10 (14-4)
Q1 Record: 1-6
SOS: 160th
NET Ranking: 79

UC Irvine Anteaters
Conference: Big West
Record: 27-5 (15-1)
Q1 Record: 1-1
SOS: 235th
NET Ranking: 76

Vermont Catamounts
Conference: American East
Record: 26-6 (14-2)
Q1 Record: 0-3
SOS: 287th
NET Ranking: 73


14 Seeds: Old Dominion, Yale, Texas State, Montana

Old Dominion Monarchs
Conference: C-USA
Record: 23-8 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 2-0
SOS: 220th
NET Ranking: 98

Yale Bulldogs
Conference: Ivy
Record: 20-7 (10-4)
Q1 Record: 0-4
SOS: 183rd
NET Ranking: 86

Texas State Bobcats
Conference: Sun Belt
Record: 23-8 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 1-2
SOS: 214th
NET Ranking: 130

Montana Grizzlies
Conference: Big Sky
Record: 23-8 (16-4)
Q1 Record: 0-2
SOS: 297th
NET Ranking: 124


15 Seeds: Northern Kentucky, Bucknell, Bradley, Gardner-Webb

Northern Kentucky
Conference: Horizon
Record: 20-12 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 0-3
SOS: 257th
NET Ranking: 114

Bucknell Bison
Conference: Patriot
Record: 21-11 (13-5)
Q1 Record: 1-3
SOS: 228th
NET Ranking: 150

Bradley Braves
Conference: MVC
Record: 20-14 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 0-2
SOS: 207th
NET Ranking: 176

Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs
Conference: Big South
Record: 23-11 (10-6)
Q1 Record: 0-3
SOS: 263rd
NET Ranking: 172


16 Seeds: Sam Houston State, Iona, Prairie View A&M, North Dakota State, Fairleigh Dickinson, Norfolk State

Sam Houston State Bearkats
Conference: Southland
Record: 21-10 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 0-3
SOS: 285th
NET Ranking: 174

Iona Gaels 
Conference: MAAC
Record: 16-15 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 0-2
SOS: 302nd
NET Ranking: 205

Prairie View A&M Panthers (Play-in)
Conference: SWAC
Record: 19-12 (17-1)
Q1 Record: 0-3
SOS: 338th
NET Ranking: 210

North Dakota State Bison (Play-in)
Conference: Summit
Record: 17-15 (9-7)
Q1 Record: 0-4
SOS: 226th
NET Ranking: 222

Fairleigh Dickinson (Play-in)
Conference: NEC
Record: 19-13 (12-6)
Q1 Record: 0-0
SOS: 340th
NET Ranking: 203

Norfolk State Spartans (Play-in)
Conference: MEAC
Record: 19-12 (14-2)
Q1 Record: 0-2
SOS: 348th
NET Ranking: 251


On The Bubble:

Alabama Crimson Tide
Conference: SEC
Record: 17-14 (8-10)
Q1 Record: 2-8
SOS: 25th
NET Ranking: 58

Ohio State Buckeyes
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 18-13 (8-12)
Q1 Record: 2-9
SOS: 20th
NET Ranking: 55

Clemson Tigers
Conference: ACC
Record: 19-12 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 1-9
SOS: 32nd
NET Ranking: 36

Belmont Bruins
Conference: OVC
Record: 26-5 (16-2)
Q1 Record: 2-2
SOS: 231st
NET Ranking: 46

Creighton Blue Jays
Conference: Big East
Record: 18-13 (9-9)
Q1 Record: 2-7
SOS: 43rd
NET Ranking: 54

Key:
Q1 = Quadrant 1: Home games vs. a team with an RPI 1-30, Neutral games vs. a team with an RPI 1-50, Away games vs. a team with an RPI 1-75. (Definition via si.com) (Data via Haslametrics.com)
SOS = Strength of Schedule (via KenPom.com)
NET Rankings: The NCAA’s new metric to rank teams (via NCAA.com) (Explained @ NCAA.com)

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